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The 2021-22 La nina event has ended. However, observations and cimate model outlooks suggest La nina may reform later in 2022. Most climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate ENSO is likely to remain neutral through the southern hemisphere winter.

Lately the meteorological team have developed an online tool for surfing the weather patterns. This can help anyone with access to the internet what the weather will be like daily. Information provided has been given on a divisional scale as Pacific Island Countries can experience a high range of rainfall variability within country. It is possible to have forecasts which simultaneously favour above and below normal rainfall in different parts of the one country.

The 2021-2022 La Niña event has weakened slightly in the tropical Pacific over the past fort-night. Climate outlooks indicate a return to neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) levels-neither La Niña nor El Niño-late in the southern hemisphere autumn (April to May 2022).

Three-month total rainfall is typically used for monitoring grasslands, shallow rooted plants and small water body (e.g. small water tanks, streams) mositure deficits. Allow for uncertainty associated with island size, topography, geology and soil type.

Three-month rainfall is typically used for monitoring grasslands, shallow rooted plants and small water body, moisture deficits.

Information provided has been given on a divisional scale as Pacific Island Countries can experience a high range of rainfall variability within country. It is possible to have forecasts which simultaneously favour above and below normal rainfall in different parts of the one country