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Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 21 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, most of CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northern Solomon Is., northern Cook Is., most of French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northern PNG, southeastern French Polynesia and southwestern Pitcairn Is. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 14 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, most of CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northwestern Solomon Is., eastern Fiji, central Tonga, central Cook Is., most of French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northern PNG, southeastern French Polynesia and southwestern Pitcairn Is. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 7 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northwestern Solomon Is., and southeastern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northwestern PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Forecasts more than -0.8°Cbelow normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Gilbert Is. (Kiribati). Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 28 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, far northern and western RMI, PNG, most of Solomon Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, central CNMI, northern PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Nauru, and Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 21 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, PNG, most of Solomon Is., west Tuvalu, and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, central CNMI, parts of PNG, southern French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is.. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Nauru, Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 14 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, FSM, PNG, most of Solomon Is., west Tuvalu, southern Fiji, central Tonga, Niue, southern Cook Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, parts of PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 31 January: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, central and northwestern RMI, most of PNG, central and western Solomon Is., northern New Caledonia, Vanuatu, southern Fiji, southern Tonga, southern Niue, and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in far southwestern Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, parts of PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 17 January: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8 °Cabove normal are present in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, central and northern RMI, PNG, most of Solomon Is., northern New Caledonia, eastern Vanuatu, southern Fiji, southern Tonga, southern Niue, southern Cook Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2 °C are favoured in Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, and northern PNG. SSTs more than 0.8 °Cbelow normal are present across the northern Phoenix and Line Islands (Kiribati). Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

The 2020-21 La Niña is likely to have peaked with respect to atmospheric and oceanic patterns in the tropical Pacific. However, impacts associated with La Niña such as above-average rainfall, are expected to persist in the Western Pacific into early March.

La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific. International climate models suggest it is likely to continue to at least February 2021. • La Niña is likely to have peaked but impacts are expected to persist to March. • A moderate to strong Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse is expected to move slowly eastwards into the central Pacific in the next week or two. • The OLR total and anomaly maps suggest the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) was less active than normal. The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) on the other hand, was active and shifted to the southwest. • The January Rainfall image is dominated by a large area of reduced convection stretching over the western to central equatorial Pacific, with the main centre west of the Date Line. • January Mean Sea Level Pressure (MSLP) anomaly negative anomalies east of about 160° in the tropical Pacific. Positive anomalies were present in the southern sub-tropical Pacific east of Samoa.