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The 2021-22 La nina event has ended. However, observations and cimate model outlooks suggest La nina may reform later in 2022. Most climate models surveyed by the Bureau indicate ENSO is likely to remain neutral through the southern hemisphere winter.

The 2021-2022 La Niña event has weakened slightly in the tropical Pacific over the past fort-night. Climate outlooks indicate a return to neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) levels-neither La Niña nor El Niño-late in the southern hemisphere autumn (April to May 2022).

The sea surface temperature a anomaly pattern in July shows SSTs were close to average across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Coral bleaching status is no stress or no watch for almost all countries with patches of warning for western FSM.

El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. Climate model outlooks indicate this neutral phase will last at least until September.•A moderate to strong Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) pulse weakened prior moving into western Pacific

The El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral. Climate model outlooks indicate this neutral phase will last at least until September. With little sign of El Niño or La Niña developing, the Bureau's ENSO Outlook status is INACTIVE.

Tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures have persisted at ENSO neutral values for several weeks. Below the surface, much of the tropical Pacific is now at near average temperatures. Atmospheric indicators are also generally at neutral ENSO levels. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) is close to zero, while trade winds are currently being enhanced by the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO). Only cloudiness near the Date Line continues to show a weak La Niña like signature.