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In June, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) was weak and displayed north of its normal location and observed mainly in the western Pacific along Philippines, Palau, western FSM, Guam, and RMI. The South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) was active and located over its normal average location over PNG, Solomon Islands and southern Tuvalu

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 21 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, most of CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northern Solomon Is., northern Cook Is., most of French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northern PNG, southeastern French Polynesia and southwestern Pitcairn Is. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 14 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, most of CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northwestern Solomon Is., eastern Fiji, central Tonga, central Cook Is., most of French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northern PNG, southeastern French Polynesia and southwestern Pitcairn Is. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 7 March: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, far northern RMI, most of PNG, northwestern Solomon Is., and southeastern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, northwestern PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Forecasts more than -0.8°Cbelow normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Gilbert Is. (Kiribati). Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 28 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, far northern and western RMI, PNG, most of Solomon Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, central CNMI, northern PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Nauru, and Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 21 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, PNG, most of Solomon Is., west Tuvalu, and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in southern Palau, central CNMI, parts of PNG, southern French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is.. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Nauru, Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 14 February: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, FSM, PNG, most of Solomon Is., west Tuvalu, southern Fiji, central Tonga, Niue, southern Cook Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, parts of PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Below normal SSTs are favoured in parts of Kiribati. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 31 January: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8°Cabove normal are favoured in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, central and northwestern RMI, most of PNG, central and western Solomon Is., northern New Caledonia, Vanuatu, southern Fiji, southern Tonga, southern Niue, and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2°C are favoured in far southwestern Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, parts of PNG, and southern French Polynesia. Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

Ocean Outlook, fortnight to 17 January: • Sea surface temperature (SST) forecasts more than 0.8 °Cabove normal are present in the following country EEZs: Palau, Guam, CNMI, most of FSM, central and northern RMI, PNG, most of Solomon Is., northern New Caledonia, eastern Vanuatu, southern Fiji, southern Tonga, southern Niue, southern Cook Is., and southern French Polynesia. SST anomalies above 1.2 °C are favoured in Palau, central CNMI, southwestern FSM, and northern PNG. SSTs more than 0.8 °Cbelow normal are present across the northern Phoenix and Line Islands (Kiribati). Elsewhere SSTs are predicted to be near-normal.

The Pacific Islands Regional Climate Centre (PI-RCC) considers that the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the tropical Pacific remains neutral. While many of the indicators have recently met the threshold for La Niña they have not been sustained for levels or duration sufficient to warrant La Niña status.