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  • Subject Climatic changes - Regional
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  • Subject Climate change - Oceania
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COSPPac Monthly Bulletin, August 2023
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2023
The Coral bleaching Outlook to 24 September shows patches of area of 'Alert Level 1 and 2' over Kiribati (central Gilbert, northern Phoenix and northern Line Islands).
Regional Early Action Rainfall Watch : Monthly and seasonal Rainfall Watch: April 2023
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2023
The Pacific Ocean is currently ENSO - neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño), with anomalous warmth in both the east and west of the basin. While oceanic ENSO indicators have continued to warm and are forecast to reach El Niño thresholds during winter, there has been little to no shift towards El Niño in atmospheric ENSO indicators
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, March 2023.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2023
For April- June 2023, the models unanimously agree on above normal raindall for most of FSM, central Marshall islands, the southeast of PNG's EEX, southern Solomon Islands and Vanuatu. There are also unaimous in showing that below normal rainfall is likely or very likely for southern parts of central and eastern Kiribati, Tokelau, northern Cook Islands and northern French Polynesia.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, February 2023.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2023
La Nina has weakened in the tropical Pacific Ocean and is likely near it end. Sea surface temperatures (SST) in February 2023 were cooler than average across much of the tropical Pacific Ocean, extending from around 165°E in a broadening wedge to the South America coastline.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, January 2023.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2023
La nina continues in the tropical Pacific, but oceanic indicators (sea surface temperatures, SSTs) have weakened since their peak during spring 2022.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, December 2022.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2022
La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific and models suggest a return to ENSO-neutral SSTs in January or February 2023.
Regional Early Action Rainfall Watch : Monthly and seasonal Rainfall Watch: December 2022
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2022
Key atmospheric and oceanic indicators of ENSO reflect a mature La Niña. Models suggest a return to ENSO-neutral in January or February 2023.
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, November 2022.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2022
La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific with models suggest a return to ENSO-neutral in Janu-ary or February 2023.
Regional Early Action Rainfall Watch : Monthly and seasonal Rainfall Watch: November 2022
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2022
Key atmospheric and oceanic indicators of ENSO show an established La Niña. Models indicate this La Niña event is likely to decline early in the southern summer, with a return to ENSO-neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño) early in 2023
COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, October 2022.
SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information
Available Online
2022
La Nina continues with models indicating a return to ENSO-neutral conditions. (neither La nina nor El Nino) early in 2023

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