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Collection Climate Science and Information
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Related Countries Pacific Region
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Subject Climate change - Oceania
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Regional Early Action Rainfall Watch : Monthly and seasonal Rainfall Watch: April 2023

SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information

Available Online

The Pacific Ocean is currently ENSO - neutral (neither La Niña nor El Niño), with anomalous warmth in both the east and west of the basin. While oceanic ENSO indicators have continued to warm and are forecast to reach El Niño thresholds during winter, there has been little to no shift towards El Niño in atmospheric ENSO indicators

COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, November 2022.

SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information

Available Online

La Niña continues in the tropical Pacific with models suggest a return to ENSO-neutral in Janu-ary or February 2023.

COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, October 2022.

SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information

Available Online

La Nina continues with models indicating a return to ENSO-neutral conditions. (neither La nina nor El Nino) early in 2023

COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, August 2022.

SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information

Available Online

The Bureau's ENSO Outlook continues at La Niña indicating at least a 70% chance of La Niña reforming later this year. This is around triple the normal likelihood. La Niña events increase the chances of above-average rainfall for northern and eastern Australia and western Pacific during spring and summer.

COSPPac Monthly Climate Bulletin, January 2022.

SPREP Publications, Climate Science and Information

Available Online

A mature La Niña event remains active in the tropical Pacific. Climate models suggest the 2021-22 La Niña is near or at its peak, with a return to neutral El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) likely early in the southern hemisphere autumn (March 2022).

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