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The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean at ENSO-neutral levels. Atmospheric indices, such as those related to patterns of surface pressure, cloud and trade winds, are broadly consistent with an ENSO-neutral state.

The El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean at ENSO-neutral levels. Atmospheric indices, such as those related to patterns of surface pressure, cloud and trade winds, are broadly consistent with an ENSO-neutral state. While some have displayed La Niña-like signals over recent months, a consistent and sustained shift in the atmosphere has not been observed.

The El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) remains neutral, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the central equatorial Pacific Ocean at ENSO-neutral levels. Atmospheric indices, such as those related to patterns of surface pressure, cloud and trade winds, are broadly consistent with an ENSO-neutral state. While some atmospheric indices have displayed La Niña-like signals over re-cent months, a consistent/sustained shift has not been observed.

In September, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) was active and north of the Date Line, and a well-defined South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) extended east-southeast from PNG to the northern Cook Islands in the southern hemisphere

The 3-month rainfall status for June to August 2024 was Very Wet or Seriously Wet over Palau, much of the PNG Islands and the north of the mainland, most of Solomon Islands, central Tuvalu, Tokelau, southern Phoenix Is., in parts of the northern and central Cook Islands, plus scattered small patches in FSM, RMI, the Line Is., and French Polynesia.

The 3-month rainfall status for May to July 2024 was Very Wet or Seriously Wet over Palau, southwest FSM, much of PNG, most of Solomon Islands, far northern Fiji, central and southern Tuvalu, Tokelau, northeast Wallis and Futuna, and Samoa. Patches of Very Wet or Seriously Wet were also observed in American Samoa, Kiribati (far northern Line Is.), northern and central Cook Islands, and central RMI.

The 3-month rainfall status for April to June 2024 was Very Wet or Seriously Wet over southern Palau, southwest FSM, most of PNG, most of Solomon Islands, far northern Fiji, western and southern Tuvalu, Tokelau, northeast Wallis and Futuna, patches in both Samoa and American Samoa, northern Cook Islands, far northern and southern Line Islands, and northern French Polynesia.

For September to November 2024 the models agree that above normal rainfall is likely or very likely for Palau, western to central FSM, central RMI, most of the PNG mainland, the north of both Samoa and American Samoa, and the north-central Cook Islands. In addition, the models agree that below normal rainfall is likely or very likely for southeastern FSM, far southern RMI, Nauru, Kiribati, northern Tuvalu, northern Tokelau, northern French Polynesia, and Pitcairn Is-lands.

In July, the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) was just north of the equator, and a well-defined South Pacific Convergence Zone (SPCZ) extended east-southeast from PNG to the northern Cook Islands in the southern hemisphere.

Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in teh central Pacific have been cooling since December 2023.